Prediction – Food and Water Shortages for Northern California Late Summer / Fall – 2022. Surging Inflation
If anyone has been paying attention to what has been happening in the world, they would already know that the direction we are heading is not good. With the war in Ukraine there has been some been some opportunities that have arisen.
First, the energy issue that the Biden Administration uses Ukraine and Russia as someone to blame – however the policies of this president and his administration has created the energy shortage. Unfortunately, the oil companies are going to use this to their advantage because it means billions in additional revenue. In the meantime, the average American will suffer. Fertilizer prices are expected to increase around 20%. This is due to shortages, and it takes petroleum to make fertilizer and fertilizer to grow food.
In addition Ukraine produces lots of food for Europe. Ukraine is one of the main world exporters of grains as well as vegetable oils. The main agriculture export products are Corn and Wheat. In 2021 Ukraine was the second largest supplier of grains for the European Union (EU) and a large food supplier for low and middle-income countries in Asia and Africa.’ These food sources need to be replaced. The European nation will be looking West for this food which will escalate prices and create shortages.
California is having a severe drought. Farmers in the state are only getting allocated 5% of their normal water supply to grow crops. California produces almost all of the country’s almonds, apricots, dates, figs, kiwi fruit, nectarines, olives, pistachios, prunes, and walnuts. It leads in the production of avocados, grapes, lemons, melons, peaches, plums, and strawberries. Only Florida produces more oranges. This does not include the dairy and cattle industry which will both suffer with no water supplies.
Water will be severely restricted as we enter late spring and summer. California has asked for voluntary cutbacks of 15% – and the governor signed an Executive Order with more restrictions. The 55 gallon per day per person restriction hits June of this year. Those in the cities and on metered water supplies are going to be in for a big surprise on their water bill. Not only will this restriction hit California families hard it will also limit the amount of food they can grow on their own. No more backyard gardens and with the produce supply hit hard here in California there will be an extreme amount of inflation.
The only people that will do well through the shortages are those that are prepared, those that have their own water supply, those that raise their own produce, beef and pork. They won’t be immune from the out-of-control inflation because feed will see a large increase in prices. Grass has to be supplemented with grain to raise cattle and pigs.
Fuel costs are going to affect all prices. Everything you use is transported to a store on a truck. Those costs will be passed directly on to the consumer.
As we move into the fall you will see huge price increases in heating oil, propane, pellets and natural gas. Electric companies like PG&E in California are already asking for rate increases.
On top of all of this it will be a severe fire season. Fire Insurance will be hitting the inflation numbers hard for those that can obtain it.
My prediction for this year is not good. The government and economists are not going to prepare you for what is coming, empty food shelves and high prices. When things get rough people will take what is yours, so I expect an uptick in crime. If you own firearms this is the time to buy some additional ammunition. It is also time to not be relaxed when you carry (if you are a CWC holder like myself.)
What do you think? Do you have suggestions? Do you think I am correct or incorrect? Your comments are appreciated.